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Customer Research Expansion Strategy Regional F&B
Cōpow Foods

The research that proved convenience is the real barrier to local organic food — and built a roadmap for 150 stores.

7,105
Consumers surveyed
8
Custom buyer segments
31+
Sub-segments identified
150
Planned store locations
Cōpow Foods store

The Challenge

The problem isn't price.
It never was.

Cōpow Foods was building something genuinely different: a regional food system that connects local, organic, regenerative farmers directly to consumers — with the convenience of modern retail. They had already opened in Coeur d'Alene. A multi-city expansion was on the roadmap.

Before committing capital to new locations, the Cōpow team needed more than market size data. They needed to understand exactly who their buyer was, what truly motivated that person to choose local organic food over conventional alternatives, and — critically — where those buyers were concentrated. Location decisions built on intuition are expensive mistakes.

The conventional wisdom said price was the barrier. Organic food is expensive. If that's true, the business model has a ceiling. Cōpow suspected the real answer was something else — and needed research at a scale that would hold up to scrutiny.

What the industry assumed
Price is the primary barrier to organic adoption
Farmers markets are the right channel for local food
Demand exists but conversion is a premium problem
Location strategy can be built on intuition and market size
The Question We Set Out to Answer

What truly drives the modern consumer to choose locally sourced organic food — and what makes them commit to it as a habit?

The Approach

Research at a scale that
earns conviction.

1

Large-scale consumer survey

We surveyed 7,105 real consumers across target markets — not a convenience sample, but a statistically meaningful population that let us draw conclusions with confidence. Every respondent was screened for relevance to Cōpow's buyer profile. At this scale, patterns don't lie.

2

Custom segment architecture

We built 8 custom buyer segments and 31+ sub-segments from the survey data — each defined by distinct motivations, purchase triggers, friction points, and geographic patterns. This wasn't demographic slicing. These were behaviorally distinct groups with fundamentally different reasons for buying or not buying.

3

Proprietary location algorithm

We built a proprietary algorithm that identified Cōpow's best potential customers by zip code — mapping segment density, purchase propensity, and access gaps across geographies. The output: a ranked list of the highest-opportunity markets for expansion, built on buyer data rather than population size or gut feel.

Cōpow Foods beverages

The Core Finding

Farmers don't have a local food price problem. They have a convenience problem.

Consumers will pay a premium for organic, regenerative, locally grown food. The market is enormous — $71B in annual US organic food spending, $24B of it at Whole Foods alone. Demand is not the issue.

The issue is that farmers markets — the primary channel for local food — will never scale. They demand too much from the buyer: specific hours, specific locations, cash payments, planning ahead. The modern consumer won't bend their life around a purchase. If the food doesn't come to them on their terms, they default to whatever's easiest.

What buyers said they wanted
Organic, local, regenerative food at a fair price

Price and values were top-of-mind in every interview. Buyers cited these as their primary decision criteria.

What actually drove their behavior
Convenience — on their schedule, in their path

When buyers defaulted away from local organic, friction was the cause — not price. The right product in the right place converted. The gap was access, not affordability.

What the Research Unlocked

A clear picture of the buyer —
and where to find them.

The research didn't just answer the question of why people buy local organic food. It gave Cōpow a proprietary asset — a zip-code-level map of their best customers across the country — that now powers every location decision they make.

The Research Scale
7,105
People surveyed

A statistically meaningful sample that removed guesswork and built findings Cōpow could take to investors and board members with confidence.

Segment Depth
8 segments
31+ sub-segments

A complete behaviorally-defined picture of who Cōpow's buyer is — and who they aren't. Each segment with its own motivation profile, friction map, and creative brief.

The Roadmap
150 stores
Planned locations

Every location on the roadmap ranked by the proprietary algorithm — buyer density, purchase propensity, and access gap by zip code. Research as infrastructure.

Ongoing Asset
The algorithm doesn't expire — it compounds
As Cōpow opens new locations, the zip-code model continues to rank every remaining geography. The research infrastructure grows more valuable with each store opened.
In use →
"Thanks to a deep dive undertaken with the help of Seth Waite and his amazing team, we know convenience trumps nearly all else when it comes to real food."
E
Evie Fatz
CEO & Founder, Cōpow Foods

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